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War in November 2008 – God forbid (Based on the theory of Rosenberg & Related Readings JC)
War in November? – Confrontation military with Iran can move swiftly.
clouds of war continue to build in the epicenter. Last month Rome, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said the United States and Israel would soon be "annihilated," language he had not used explicitly since October 2005, when he promised to wipe Israel "off the map" and urged Muslims to "a vision world without the United States. "This week, his regime authorized a new series of Iranian war games. He ordered the digging of 320,000 graves bury the enemies of Islam. It calls for a unified Islamic world politically and economically, including the creation of a single currency.
Moreover, Iranian TV is running an anti-Semitic new documentary film series, "The Secret of Armageddon." Preparing the ground for a future war that will usher in apocalyptic Islamic Messiah known as the Mahdi or the "Twelfth Imam", the series focuses on a series of Bible prophecies that inform Jewish and Christian end times theology. Although the presentation is grossly distorted, some facts emerge. Iranian scholar Dr. Ismail Shafe'i Sarustani, for example, told viewers that the word "Armageddon" is "originally a Hebrew word "and" is a real geographical region, situated south of Haifa, "noting that" the place was bombed by Hezbollah during the 33 days [July 2006] war. "Iranian historian Mohammad-Taqi Taqipour notes that" the Christian [Gospel], with the Jews, believe that the War of the End of Days will take place in the desert of Megiddo, in Palestine. They believe that Jesus will return, and then there will be a millennium of happiness. "
The series, however, accuses the Jews who were victims of genocide – in the very Ahmadinejad denies the Holocaust happened – in fact planning to commit genocide. "There is a genocidal Zionist Jewish plan for the genocide of humanity at the hands of the Zionist Jew-boy" said one Iranian researcher interviewed for the program. "The Zionist Jew-boys talk about a" Greater Israel "- from the Euphrates to the Nile – but their real goal is world domination. "At one point, Iranian researcher Shams Al-Din Rahmani argues that" the goal of the Zionists is the total destruction of Islam. "
During the June 7th episode, the narrator includes anti-Semitic conspiracy theories and products to try to justify Iran own war plans. "Today, there are many indications that the" hidden hand "of Zionism were involved in the attack of 9 September 11 terrorist. A large group of Western intellectuals, the Zionists are the true leaders of the United States. According to irrefutable documents published by independent American media, the Zionists used intelligence agents and spies, with the full cooperation with the country agencies, to carry out this terrorist operation in full view of the world to prepare the ground for support in Afghanistan and Iraq, and realize the dream of Greater Israel. "
Top Israeli intelligence officials, meanwhile, increasingly believe that time is running out. They believe that Iran could have a nuclear weapon within a year and a former Mossad chief is urging his country's leadership launched a series of massive air strikes against nuclear Iranian and other military facilities before it is too late. On the Israel Air Force has just completed a trial of such a mission bombardment.
John Bolton, former U.S. ambassador to the UN, said he believes that Israel could attack Iran in the current late fall or early winter, after the U.S. elections in November, but before the opening of the next president U.S. January 20. A senior Pentagon officials told the Washington Post several days ago, he is concerned by the same scenario – a surprise November – prompting both President Bush and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs to make strong public statements warning the Israelis not to take such measures. Until a few weeks ago, it was believed in Israel that new parliamentary elections would be held in November. But at the last moment, Minister of Defense Ehud Barak withdrew his threat to vote to bring down the Olmert government for another few months, has led many to speculate that Barak may be calculating that the Israelis could not be completely immersed in an election campaign and a bombing campaign at the same time.
United States Israel does not want to strike. After all, the impact of such a war with Iran would be global in nature. Israel would face tens of thousands of missiles not only Iran, but probably from Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza and possibly the West Bank. Some of these missiles could have chemical and / or biological warheads, even if the nuclear warheads in Iran are not ready yet. ballistic missiles probably also drew Iran on oil fields in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, to oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, and bases and U.S. forces in Iraq. Tens of thousands of cell suicide bomber could be activated in the region – particularly in Iraq and Israel – and perhaps even in Western Europe and the United States and Canada. Iranian efforts to overthrow Jordan's King Abdullah II and / or Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak in favor radical Islamic regimes friendly to Tehran could also be put in motion. Oil prices could shoot from $ 140 a barrel $ 300 a barrel or more. Gas prices in the United States would peak at $ 7 – $ 10 or more, with horrific domestic and international economic impact.
No wonder Washington does not want war with Iran. N wants such a war. I certainly do not, any more than the Israelis. Yet the U.S. has not a convincing plan to stop the Iranian nuclear weapons program in time. Nor is the UN or the EU diplomacy does not work. Economic sanctions have been imposed on Iran since 1979 to little strategic effect. Unfortunately, the words of Senator John McCain continue to resonate in my head this week. In April 2006, the main Arizona senator has appeared on NBC's Meet the Press. He said, "there only one thing worse than using the option of military action, and it is the Iranians acquire nuclear weapons. "For If Iran gets the bomb, he said, "I think we could have Armageddon."
Iran tests missiles as U.S. vows to defend allies
– By Alistair Lyon
TEHRAN (Reuters) – Iran tested more missiles in the Gulf on Thursday, media officials, and the United States reiterated that Tehran was ready to defend its allies.
Washington, which accuses Tehran of seeking nuclear weapons after Iran test fired nine said missile Wednesday that there should be no more testing if that trust Iran wanted in the world.
U.S. officials have not ruled out military options if diplomacy fails to assuage fears about Iran 's nuclear program, which Tehran says must produce electricity.
Israel, long assumed to have its own atomic arsenal, has vowed to prevent Iran from emerging as a nuclear-armed. Last month, he organized an army of the air year fueled speculation about a possible attack on Iranian nuclear sites.
Defense Minister Ehud Barak said Thursday that favored using diplomatic pressure and sanctions, but added: "Israel is the strongest country in the region and has proved in the past, he is not afraid to take action when its vital security interests are at stake. "
Iran has promised to retaliate in Tel Aviv and the interests of the United States and shipping, if attacked, asserting that missiles fired during war games in progress Gulf including those that could hit Israel and U.S. bases in the region.
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said during a visit to the former Soviet republic of Georgia that no one should be confused about the commitment of Washington to protect its allies. "We are also sending a message to Iran that we will defend American interests and … interests our allies, "she said after meeting Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili.
Rice said a shield planned U.S. missile defense, to be based in the Czech Republic and Poland, would stifle any threat of an attack on Iran. Russia opposes the project.
"We are also able to look to the future of a missile defense system that will make it harder for Iran to threaten (and) and be bellicose and say terrible things because their missiles will not work, "Rice said.
Television Iranian state radio and said the Revolutionary Guards – the ideological wing of the Iranian armed forces – had fired ground-to-sea, surface to surface and sea-air missiles overnight. long-range missiles were also launched.
China calls for restraint:
"The … maneuver brings power to the Islamic Republic of Iran and is a lesson for enemies, "Guards commander Mohammad Ali Jafari chief was quoted as saying.
Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for Gulf oil exports if it is attacked. Thursday exercises involved divers and motor boats, and launching a high-speed torpedo called Hout, the state media.
Commenting on Iran's Gulf maneuvers, Kuwait said it hoped wisdom would prevail on all sides. "The region has been fairly constant warfare," Department of Foreign Affairs of Kuwait Khaled Jarallah Sub was quoted by KUNA state agency News as saying.
On Iranian threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, he said: "We hope not to get there."
The missile tests rattled global oil markets, pushing up the price of oil. Crude prices have plunged in recent days, but struck a series of records this year partly on Iran tensions.
China urged restraint in the dispute over Iran 's nuclear plans, but did not echo Western rebukes over the missile launches.
"We express our concern about these developments, "Chinese Foreign Ministry Liu Jianchao said the tests.
He welcomed the prospect of new negotiations on the nuclear program continues with Iran, the fourth largest oil producer and China the third largest supplier of crude.
The United States, Great Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China have offered Iran to curb its nuclear program. Tehran rejects their demand to suspend uranium enrichment.
The European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana, as for the six powers would meet Iranian officials for talks on the package, but no time or place has been announced.
China and Russia is building Iran 's first and so far only, nuclear power plant, has resisted calls to the U.S. led to extend UN sanctions on the Islamic Republic.
The sanctions have rendered the Western companies increasingly reluctant invest. France 's Total said Thursday that he would not invest for now in a major gas deal because of political risk.
Iran has brushed the impact of Western caution saying with the development with or without them, "Iranian Oil Minister Gholam Nozari told reporters when asked about recent comments from Total.
Iran Missiles States Are on ramps Launch and Ready for Fire
– By Willard Payne
Night Watch: Tehran – "Our missiles are ready for firing in any place and any time, quickly and accurately. The enemy must not repeat its mistakes. The enemy targets are under surveillance. "That is the statement of claim-offensive by the commander of the Islamic revolution in Iran Guard Corps (IRGC)-Air Force Brigadier General Hossein Salami of the nine missile tests in Iran yesterday conducted As part of their Great Prophet III maneuvers currently underway in the Strait of Hormuz. FNA reported an improved version of the Shahab-3 was tested with a range 1,240 miles (2,000 km) and the average range Zelzal 240 miles (400 km) and 102 miles Fateh (170 km). Tehran has in the past, said Shahab-3 will be launched at Israel if Jerusalem attacks first, but the short-range missiles are likely focus on U.S. bases UK / Iraq and when the whole regional war begins they will be used to support the Mahdi Army and other militias Islamists in Iraq. [PAF]
IRGC naval commander, Morteza Saffari, told one of the concepts involved in strategic maneuvers is to show, "The maneuvers also sets out a reassuring message to regional countries that together we can ensure the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, without the presence of foreign forces. "This message resonates very favorably with the governments in the Persian Gulf, not only because of the disastrous where the US / UK occupation has caused in Iraq, but they no longer believe the gap should be a base for Western militaries. They have probably seen the insistence the West that the bases continue as condescending and paternalistic. Saffari added besides the missile maneuvers also displayed a variety of other missiles, rocket launchers and torpedoes. Military vessels and land-sea missiles were tested and, while Iran will use the Persian Gulf-Strait of Hormuz before.
Great Prophet III – The video link has new France24 television Al-Alam on missile testing. Please keep in mind the guidance systems of missiles of all kinds and all the beaches are very fragile and are prone to malfunction. Nothing works, and advertising. Some gaps, others will fail, some work course. Despite all the improvements and modernization of military industries will never achieve perfection. [FRANCE24]
Tehran – This link contains several other France24 military equipment displays and warnings Iran. [FRANCE24]
Knesset – While Tehran is preparing for a possible attack by the US-Israel security Wednesday Cabinet meeting chaired by Prime Minister Ehud Olmert targeted Hezbollah in Lebanon. INN is reporting Ministers will be informed of the rearmament campaign massive Hezbollah was conducted as a constant flow of weapons coming from Syria to Lebanon. It has never been a secret since the 2006 war, that Hezbollah began to pit the day after the end of the war and in direct violation of UN resolution fire that has never been applied by the 13,000 European troops with UNIFIL in South Lebanon. Recently, the Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs visited Israel and Lebanon and Israel front has also made contact with France, I think Foreign Minister to inform both the planned offensive by Israel. It is very possible one of the main reasons why Israel does not have staged an offensive in the Gaza Strip against Palestinian militants because they have always known their biggest threat is on their side of the northern border of Lebanon and northern Syria. The vast majority of missiles launched against Israel will these two places and the security cabinet has discussed different ways to stop arms smuggling. Inn] [
Jerusalem is constantly UNIFIL and the spirit of diplomacy is powerless is a lie, therefore, military operations are being planned which is entirely consistent with the doctrine of Israel's security that allows preemptive attacks to disrupt not only the preparation of an enemy, but even staging an invasion Pure and simple as in June 1967. They knew the invasion would lead to war and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) were so successful war lasted six days. Ministers were informed Hezbollah now has three times the number of missiles-rockets they had, there are two years and I think it was also reported Defense Minister Ehud Barak is scheduled to visit Washington next week. I suspect when Pentagon Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Michael Mullen, visited Israel recently Syria may have been discussed, even more than Iran especially since the Israeli air force Force (IAF) in September last raid on Syria 's nuclear facility has not destroyed all of Syria of nuclear fuel production. Yesterday, Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni has made very strong statements against Damascus have been a little less than a declaration of war.
Jerusalem seems convinced they need to renew their initiative in 1967 which kept the enemy off balance and strengthening the security of Israel and the only way they can do is not to wait for Hezbollah to attack first. That was the mistake made in Jerusalem in 2006 and the IDF response was not aggressive enough because they have not reoccupy southern Lebanon that have killed thousands of Katyusha rockets Hezbollah has completely ineffective. The security cabinet was informed of a Kuwaiti newspaper published a report which mentioned Hezbollah intends to position anti-aircraft missiles on the tops of the mountains of Lebanon that is a direct threat to the IAF surveillance flights and the only way Israel has been able to monitor the network Hezbollah-Syria-Iran weapons support. Washington has always said he was never against any IDF military offensive he just wanted to be informed in advance, so I suppose the story Barak will visit Washington next week. There will certainly be more guns of August in 2008 than in 2006.
Lebanon-Syria front became one and the same thing. Thus, Tehran will not enter the war in support of Palestinian militants in Gaza, but in support of Hezbollah and Syria. Israel has also warned Damascus that the IDF attacks Hezbollah, Syria will also be targeted. Is the only way for Israel to stop the trafficking of arms into Lebanon. It may not be as much fighting in the Gaza Strip as I really expect that Tehran disappoint. Iran has been years in the planning of its military magnanimous gesture in support of the Palestinian people but Iran may strengthen desperately Lebanese-Syrian front.
Barak warns Iran 'we will not hesitate to act "
Affairs Minister Defense stern warning to Tehran, said: "Israel is the strongest country in the region, and it has proved in the past that not afraid to act when there are vital interests are threatened.
With Iran continuing to flex its military muscles with tests Wednesday against ballistic missiles, Defense Minister Ehud Barak issued a strongly-worded warning on Thursday night, warning Tehran that Israel not hesitate to resort to military action.
"It is a challenge not only for Israel but for the world. The emphasis is now sanctions and diplomatic action. Israel is the strongest country in the region, and it has proved in the past that not afraid to act when there are vital interests are threatened, "Barak said in a speech to the Labour Party headquarters Tel Aviv.
The Defence Minister has urged, however, caution. "The responses of our adversaries must be taken into account. Hamas and Hezbollah and the Syrians and the Iranians – there is activity all around us. And there is a potential for confrontation, "he said.
"On the other hand, it is also possible for the agreements, particularly with the Palestinians and Syrians. We have a moral responsibility to make the most of any chance to reach an agreement with our neighbors. But the considerations are very complex, and we need to see before you, to circumvent barriers to ensure safety Israel. "
"We must work towards an agreement – but if not, then we must strike our enemy when it is required."
"Our moral duty to captive home"
Barak also discussed the operation prisoner exchange with Hezbollah. "We hope to see the finish line of our struggle to bring Udi and Eldad home, "he said, referring to Israeli soldiers kidnapped Goldwasser Ehud and Eldad Regev.
"We have a moral obligation as commanders to soldiers who come home on missions in the name of the country. It is our duty to tell the truth to the public and families it appears that the boys were killed, it is our duty to say so. Meaning – return should not be delayed by Hezbollah schemes. "
The defense minister has warned that Hezbollah continues to strengthen. "There is a erosion constant (UNSC) Resolution 1701. Over the last two years they have doubled or even tripled their arsenal of rockets, and they cover all the country, he said, adding that Hezbollah now has much closer ties with Syria.
Regarding the ongoing negotiations for the release of Gilad Shalit, Ehud Barak said: "There is now a window of opportunity created by the cease-fire. It is important we take advantage of this window, and it is important that difficult decisions are made in Jerusalem and not in Gaza.
OPEC chief warns against "unlimited oil prices" if Iran is attacked
– By James Kanter
Vienna: The head of the Organization Petroleum Exporting Countries warned Thursday that oil prices see a "unlimited" increase in the case of a military conflict involving Iran, because group members would be unable to make up the lost production.
"We can not replace the production by Iran – this is impossible to replace him, "Abdalla Salem El-Badri, secretary general of OPEC, said in an interview.
Iran, second largest country producer in OPEC, after Saudi Arabia, produces about four million barrels of oil per day on the daily production Worldwide nearly 87 million barrels.
The country was locked in a lengthy dispute with Western nations over its nuclear ambitions.
In recent weeks, oil prices rose again on speculation that Israel might be preparing to launch an attack against the facilities nuclear countries. The saber rattling intensified this week with missile tests by Iran.
It has also shaken oil markets because of concerns that any conflict with Iran could disrupt oil supplies from the Gulf.
"The price would go unlimited" Badri said during the interview, referring to the impact of military conflict. "I can not give you a number."
Tehran has insisted that country, called for a peaceful solution, he suggested that an additional conflict Middle East outside of the current conflict in Iraq is grave and long term.
"If something happened there, nobody would be able to solve, "he said, referring to a war involving Iran.
He said that current geopolitical tensions were among the main why oil prices were so high. He said that a lack of refining capacity and a weak dollar were other factors, but reiterated OPEC's position that speculation on oil markets probably was the most important.
He insisted that the reserves of oil were plentiful and that worries about scarcity were misplaced.
Supplies from Russia and Norway and other non-OPEC countries outside the 13-members of OPEC would continue to grow, aided by technologies like gas and coal into liquid fuel turning and extraction of oil from tar sands and shale.
Even so, he also sought to allay concerns about a supply shock, saying that OPEC members already were investing $ 160 billion in new capacity production until 2012.
But he said additional investment in future production capacity could be frozen, which can sharpen a dispute with the consumer countries whether sufficient measures are taken to meet demand over the next decade.
Measures taken by the European Union and the United States to reduce dependence on fossil fuels meant that OPEC had no other choice but to adopt a cautious approach before going ahead with plans to invest up to 540 billion dollars in oil production by 2020.
"If we do not ask, we are not going to invest," said Badri, adding that there is substantial doubt as to the amount of money OPEC countries would invest after 2012.
OPEC nations "do not want spend their money on something they can use, "he said.
OPEC countries account for about 40 percent of world production daily.
About the Author
The Author is an academic person who owns a passion for peace and self development. He who travels the world in search of a well defined political governance; where peace, abundance and security are of bounty.
He owns a strong faith in the theory of self preservation and self trust.
From his own conviction, He value not the critic who counts, not the man who points out how the strong man stumble, or where the doer of deeds could have done better.
He also believes that ones good effort should be credited with recognition that belongs to the man who is in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes short again and again, who knows the great enthusiasm, the great devotion, who spends himself in a worthy cause, who at best knows achievement and who at the worst if he fails at least fails while daring greatly so that his place shall never be like those cold and timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat. agp_von@yahoo.com
APPLE OF MY EYE – iPhone 4 film / movie (shot and edited) – includes behind the scenes